Housing Market Update - Spring 2008

Check this page often to obtain current economic and housing market data to assist you with your home buying and selling decisions.

The Canadian housing market in 2007 set a number of MLS® sales records, and the re-sale housing market is expected to remain at near record levels in 2008, according to The Canadian Real Estate Association.

Annual residential MLS® sales activity totaled 520,747 units in 2007, up 7.6 per cent from 2006 levels.  This was the largest annual sales growth since 2002, and the first time transactions via the MLS® systems of real estate boards in Canada have surpassed 500,000 units sold in one year.

The 2007 results show the strength and affordability of the Canadian residential market.  The statistics again show just how different the housing markets are in Canada and the United States.  Canadian REALTORS® know that Canadian mortgage lenders correctly see that home prices will continue rising.  We know there is still strong competition for mortgage business in Canada.

Three key economic ingredients will keep Canada’s housing market on a different track from the United States.  One is consumer confidence, the second is employment, and the third is affordable interest rates.  The Bank of Canada cut interest rates on January 22nd because of weaker prospects for Canadian economic growth in 2008.  It is felt that lower interest rates will also help temper the erosion in housing affordability due to additional home price increases.  The Bank of Canada is expected to cut its trend-setting rate again this spring.

CREA’s Chief Economist Gregory Klump says that the Canadian housing market in 2008 will pull back from the breakneck pace set in 2007, but this is still forecast to be the second-busiest year on record in almost all provinces, with residential unit sales reaching an estimated 512,705 units.

Average prices for MLS home sales are expected to keep setting records in 2008, although prices will increase more slowly as the market becomes more balanced.

According to CREA’s Chief Economist, a larger supply of listings will be one of the balancing influences in 2008.  Also, “slower job growth, not massive layoffs, are forecast for Canada in 2008”, CREA’s Chief Economist Gregory Klump adds.  “Consumer confidence may be sideswiped by stock market volatility, and reports that chances of a U.S. economic recession will put the brakes on the Canadian economy.  With slower job growth, a low unemployment rate and the absence of widespread layoffs, consumer confidence will bounce back.  The domestic economy and the housing market will weather the sub-prime fallout with the help of lower interest rates”.

Closer to home, here in Central Toronto, 2008 is off to a very good start with the number of sales almost at last year’s record level and continued average price growth at more than six percent.  The new Toronto Land Transfer Tax certainly had an impact with some of the fastest closings we have ever seen.  Some wintery weather conditions have played a role in reducing our inventory of listings in some neighbourhoods and some housing types, thereby creating continued multiple bidding and some very healthy sale prices.

As there is still a healthy supply of Buyers, you may consider listing your home in the early spring and benefit significantly financially, as opposed to late spring when more homes typically come to market thereby creating a more balanced market.

Please speak with one of Johnston & Daniel’s real estate practitioners (Sales Representatives or Brokers) for more information on your neighbourhood market and for assistance in making decisions concerning your home.